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Data to support which analysis, specifically?
Re the exit polls, yes. But that's neither here nor there; at least the exit poll thing begins with exit polls and with incorrect interpretations of what they showed, so my point was that it's not equivalent to the blogger's attempt to build a connection between Catholic doctrine and left-liberalism based purely on ideological speculation.
In requesting data, you're making a fundamental error: you're misplacing the burden of proof. It's the blogger who's asserting that religion is a driving force here, and I'm simply pointing out that he hasn't isolated it from other related factors. It's not up to me to prove that the other factors matter; it's up to him (or his supporters) to demonstrate that they don't, which he doesn't do.
I'm not asserting that the trend has a single, specific cause. I'm suggesting that our blogger is ignoring a complex cause, and that he is making a circular argument.
Furthermore, let me suggest that the trend he observes may not be a trend at all. During the period he considers, there have been five Catholic prime ministerial candidates, and five Protestants (I am assuming that Robert Stanfield was a Protestant). This period was dominated by three highly successful politicians; Joe Clark, John Turner and Kim Campbell can more or less be ignored. These three successful politicians happened to be Catholic. Is that a trend, or is it an anomaly?
Could it be more significant that all three were from Quebec, and were members of Quebec ethnic groups (two French, one Irish) that made it more likely they would be Catholic? Is it more likely that political parties, with the aim of winning, would tend to select candidates from Quebec, and that with a strong wave of nationalism in Quebec, Quebec voters (who make up an important proportion of the electorate) would tend to select candidates from Quebec, making those candidates more likely to win? Is it their religion, or their francophonie, that makes them successful? What does Occam's razor do for you here, given that one of the candidates is conservative and therefore bucks the historical Catholic-Liberal trend?
Does it matter that the three men in question were also highly charismatic, each in his own way, and ran against non-charismatic opponents? The flamboyant Trudeau against Joe Clark, a human bobble-head doll? Mulroney, with his rich, sincere, gravelly voice, against the stiff, wooden John Turner? Chretien, with his appealing petit-gars persona, against Preston Manning, whose sincerity could never overcome his geekiness?
One group demonstrably aligns its religion with politics: the conservative, religious right. This is because their religious values on issues such as abortion align with party politics. But do we make an error of composition when we assume that other groups are driven by religious values?
There are many potential problems with our blogger's notion that Catholicism is a driving force behind his supposed trend, and he doesn't address any of them.